Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Blake Hardwick

Hawthorn · vs NOR

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

50% (9/18)

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Avg

2.4

2.6

L10

2.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Blakevs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

17.4Disposals340.7

12.3Kicks197.6

6.1Marks90.7

2.4Tackles54.6

0.4Clearances33.9

1.2Inside 50s52.3

4.3Contested Poss.119.2

0.5Goals13.4

Disposals

Blake17.4

NOR340.7

Kicks

Blake12.3

NOR197.6

Marks

Blake6.1

NOR90.7

Tackles

Blake2.4

NOR54.6

Clearances

Blake0.4

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Blake1.2

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Blake4.3

NOR119.2

Goals

Blake0.5

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park2.8(28)+0.7

Everywhere else2.1(144)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(18)+0.3

Dry games2.2(154)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.