AFL
PProjectPunt
Mitch Lewis
Mitch Lewis
Hawthorn · vs ESS
8.5 KIO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.4
L5
9.0
L10
7.9
High
14
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7GWSMar 078ESSMar 1312SYDMar 197GEEApr 0612WBDApr 1111PORApr 189GCSApr 257COLApr 309FREMay 0711MELMay 164ADEMay 216STKMay 284WBDJun 055GCSJun 196GWSJun 269MELJul 0414CARJul 1111RICJul 19?ESSJul 258.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mitch12.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mitch8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Mitch5.4
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mitch1.6
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mitch0.3
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mitch2.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Mitch4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Mitch1.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.7.9(16)+1.7
Everywhere else6.3(14)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)7.3(4)+0.1
Dry games7.2(26)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.