AFL
PProjectPunt
Mitch Lewis
Mitch Lewis
Hawthorn · vs ESS
5.5 MKO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.4
L5
3.8
L10
3.9
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
6GWSMar 076ESSMar 139SYDMar 198GEEApr 0610WBDApr 117PORApr 185GCSApr 257COLApr 306FREMay 076MELMay 163ADEMay 214STKMay 281WBDJun 052GCSJun 193GWSJun 267MELJul 042CARJul 115RICJul 19?ESSJul 255.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Mitch12.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Mitch8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Mitch5.4
ESS116.9
Tackles
Mitch1.6
ESS50.5
Clearances
Mitch0.3
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Mitch2.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Mitch4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Mitch1.7
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.5.1(16)+0.9
Everywhere else4.2(14)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(4)-2.5
Dry games5.0(26)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.