AFL
PProjectPunt
Connor Macdonald
Connor Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
22.5 DIO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
22.0
L5
25.0
L10
21.8
High
33
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
20GWSMar 0724ESSMar 1320SYDMar 1926GEEApr 0623WBDApr 1115PORApr 1822GCSApr 2528COLApr 3012FREMay 0721MELMay 1614ADEMay 2126STKMay 2820WBDJun 0521GCSJun 1925GWSJun 2615MELJul 0431CARJul 1133RICJul 19?ESSJul 2522.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Connor22.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Connor12.7
ESS232.6
Marks
Connor4.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Connor3.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Connor2.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Connor4.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Connor7.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Connor0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.19.6(30)+3.4
Everywhere else16.2(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)16.9(8)-1.0
Dry games17.9(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.