AFL
PProjectPunt
Connor Macdonald
Connor Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 GAO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.8
L10
0.7
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 071ESSMar 130SYDMar 191GEEApr 060WBDApr 110PORApr 182GCSApr 251COLApr 300FREMay 071MELMay 160ADEMay 212STKMay 280WBDJun 050GCSJun 190GWSJun 260MELJul 040CARJul 114RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Connor22.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Connor12.7
ESS232.6
Marks
Connor4.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Connor3.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Connor2.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Connor4.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Connor7.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Connor0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At M.C.G.0.6(30)-0.1
Everywhere else0.7(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(8)-0.3
Dry games0.7(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.