Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Connor Macdonald

Hawthorn · vs NOR

9.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

28% (5/18)

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Avg

9.3

12.8

L10

10.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Connorvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

22.0Disposals340.7

12.7Kicks197.6

4.6Marks90.7

3.2Tackles54.6

2.2Clearances33.9

4.8Inside 50s52.3

7.4Contested Poss.119.2

0.8Goals13.4

Disposals

Connor22.0

NOR340.7

Kicks

Connor12.7

NOR197.6

Marks

Connor4.6

NOR90.7

Tackles

Connor3.2

NOR54.6

Clearances

Connor2.2

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Connor4.8

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Connor7.4

NOR119.2

Goals

Connor0.8

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Handballs

143.1per game · league avg 155.5

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At York Park6.5(17)-0.7

Everywhere else7.1(90)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.8(13)-1.4

Dry games7.2(94)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.