Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Connor Macdonald

Hawthorn · vs NOR

12.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

72% (13/18)

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Avg

12.7

12.2

L10

11.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Connorvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

22.0Disposals340.7

12.7Kicks197.6

4.6Marks90.7

3.2Tackles54.6

2.2Clearances33.9

4.8Inside 50s52.3

7.4Contested Poss.119.2

0.8Goals13.4

Disposals

Connor22.0

NOR340.7

Kicks

Connor12.7

NOR197.6

Marks

Connor4.6

NOR90.7

Tackles

Connor3.2

NOR54.6

Clearances

Connor2.2

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Connor4.8

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Connor7.4

NOR119.2

Goals

Connor0.8

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Kicks

197.6per game · league avg 213.8

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At York Park9.2(17)-0.9

Everywhere else10.1(90)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)9.7(13)-0.3

Dry games10.0(94)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.