AFL
PProjectPunt
Connor Macdonald
Connor Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
4.5 MKO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.6
L5
5.0
L10
4.0
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 073ESSMar 135SYDMar 198GEEApr 066WBDApr 114PORApr 187GCSApr 257COLApr 300FREMay 071MELMay 163ADEMay 217STKMay 284WBDJun 055GCSJun 193GWSJun 264MELJul 043CARJul 1110RICJul 19?ESSJul 254.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Connor22.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Connor12.7
ESS232.6
Marks
Connor4.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Connor3.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Connor2.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Connor4.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Connor7.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Connor0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.5.5(30)+1.6
Everywhere else3.9(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.1(8)-0.6
Dry games4.7(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.