AFL
PProjectPunt
Connor Macdonald
Connor Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.2
L5
2.6
L10
3.1
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4GWSMar 070ESSMar 134SYDMar 193GEEApr 063WBDApr 115PORApr 186GCSApr 251COLApr 304FREMay 072MELMay 165ADEMay 214STKMay 283WBDJun 051GCSJun 192GWSJun 263MELJul 047CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Connor22.0
ESS398.8
Kicks
Connor12.7
ESS232.6
Marks
Connor4.6
ESS116.9
Tackles
Connor3.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Connor2.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Connor4.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Connor7.4
ESS121.4
Goals
Connor0.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.2.3(30)-1.1
Everywhere else3.5(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(8)+1.2
Dry games2.8(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.