Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Connor Macdonald

Hawthorn · vs NOR

3.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

3.2

2.6

L10

3.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs NOR

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Connorvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

22.0Disposals340.7

12.7Kicks197.6

4.6Marks90.7

3.2Tackles54.6

2.2Clearances33.9

4.8Inside 50s52.3

7.4Contested Poss.119.2

0.8Goals13.4

Disposals

Connor22.0

NOR340.7

Kicks

Connor12.7

NOR197.6

Marks

Connor4.6

NOR90.7

Tackles

Connor3.2

NOR54.6

Clearances

Connor2.2

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Connor4.8

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Connor7.4

NOR119.2

Goals

Connor0.8

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At York Park3.9(17)+1.4

Everywhere else2.5(90)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.6(13)+1.1

Dry games2.6(94)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.