AFL
PProjectPunt
HAW
Cam Mackenzie
Hawthorn · vs ESS
10.5 KIO U
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
10.4
L5
9.2
L10
10.8
High
15
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
13ESSMar 138SYDMar 199WBDApr 115PORApr 1811GCSApr 2512COLApr 3010FREMay 0714MELMay 1615ADEMay 2113STKMay 2810WBDJun 0510GCSJun 1912GWSJun 264MELJul 0413CARJul 117RICJul 19?ESSJul 2510.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Cam20.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Cam10.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Cam2.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Cam4.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Cam3.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Cam3.3
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Cam7.1
ESS121.4
Goals
Cam0.1
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.9.8(20)+1.5
Everywhere else8.3(28)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)12.0(4)+3.4
Dry games8.6(44)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.