AFL
PProjectPunt
Finn Maginness
Finn Maginness
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 MKO U
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.0
L5
2.0
L10
2.0
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GWSMar 075GCSApr 251COLApr 301MELMay 162ADEMay 21?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Finn14.6
ESS398.8
Kicks
Finn4.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Finn2.0
ESS116.9
Tackles
Finn2.2
ESS50.5
Clearances
Finn0.6
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Finn0.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Finn6.0
ESS121.4
Goals
Finn0.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.3.1(13)+0.7
Everywhere else2.4(18)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.2(5)-0.6
Dry games2.8(26)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.