Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Lloyd Meek

Hawthorn · vs NOR

1.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

1.3

1.4

L10

1.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lloydvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

11.7Disposals340.7

4.8Kicks197.6

2.1Marks90.7

3.5Tackles54.6

3.4Clearances33.9

1.4Inside 50s52.3

7.3Contested Poss.119.2

0.2Goals13.4

Disposals

Lloyd11.7

NOR340.7

Kicks

Lloyd4.8

NOR197.6

Marks

Lloyd2.1

NOR90.7

Tackles

Lloyd3.5

NOR54.6

Clearances

Lloyd3.4

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Lloyd1.4

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Lloyd7.3

NOR119.2

Goals

Lloyd0.2

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At York Park1.5(12)+0.2

Everywhere else1.3(68)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(8)+0.1

Dry games1.3(72)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.