AFL
PProjectPunt
Lloyd Meek
Lloyd Meek
Hawthorn · vs ESS
6.5 HBO U
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.9
L5
7.4
L10
7.3
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 077ESSMar 137SYDMar 195GEEApr 0610WBDApr 115PORApr 1810GCSApr 254COLApr 308FREMay 074MELMay 1610ADEMay 218STKMay 286WBDJun 053GCSJun 197GWSJun 268MELJul 0410CARJul 119RICJul 19?ESSJul 256.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lloyd11.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Lloyd4.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Lloyd2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Lloyd3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Lloyd3.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Lloyd1.4
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Lloyd7.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Lloyd0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.7.9(27)-0.4
Everywhere else8.2(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)9.9(8)+2.1
Dry games7.8(56)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.