Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Lloyd Meek

Hawthorn · vs NOR

6.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

61% (11/18)

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Avg

6.9

7.4

L10

7.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lloydvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

11.7Disposals340.7

4.8Kicks197.6

2.1Marks90.7

3.5Tackles54.6

3.4Clearances33.9

1.4Inside 50s52.3

7.3Contested Poss.119.2

0.2Goals13.4

Disposals

Lloyd11.7

NOR340.7

Kicks

Lloyd4.8

NOR197.6

Marks

Lloyd2.1

NOR90.7

Tackles

Lloyd3.5

NOR54.6

Clearances

Lloyd3.4

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Lloyd1.4

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Lloyd7.3

NOR119.2

Goals

Lloyd0.2

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Handballs

143.1per game · league avg 155.5

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At York Park7.7(12)-0.2

Everywhere else7.8(68)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)9.9(8)+2.3

Dry games7.6(72)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.