AFL
PProjectPunt
Lloyd Meek
Lloyd Meek
Hawthorn · vs ESS
4.5 KIO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.8
L5
5.8
L10
4.7
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 076ESSMar 137SYDMar 194GEEApr 066WBDApr 112PORApr 185GCSApr 256COLApr 304FREMay 071MELMay 161ADEMay 212STKMay 2810WBDJun 057GCSJun 194GWSJun 267MELJul 046CARJul 115RICJul 19?ESSJul 254.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lloyd11.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Lloyd4.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Lloyd2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Lloyd3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Lloyd3.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Lloyd1.4
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Lloyd7.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Lloyd0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.4.9(27)-0.7
Everywhere else5.6(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.9(8)-0.4
Dry games5.3(56)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.