AFL
PProjectPunt
Lloyd Meek
Lloyd Meek
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 MKO U
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.1
L5
1.4
L10
1.6
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2GWSMar 073ESSMar 133SYDMar 195GEEApr 063WBDApr 111PORApr 182GCSApr 252COLApr 302FREMay 071MELMay 161ADEMay 212STKMay 283WBDJun 052GCSJun 190GWSJun 261MELJul 041CARJul 113RICJul 19?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lloyd11.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Lloyd4.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Lloyd2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Lloyd3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Lloyd3.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Lloyd1.4
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Lloyd7.3
ESS121.4
Goals
Lloyd0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.2.2(27)-0.3
Everywhere else2.6(37)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.9(8)-0.6
Dry games2.5(56)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.