Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Dylan Moore

Hawthorn · vs NOR

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

53% (9/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.7

1.4

L10

0.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 vs NOR

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Dylanvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

18.3Disposals340.7

9.2Kicks197.6

4.1Marks90.7

2.8Tackles54.6

0.8Clearances33.9

2.9Inside 50s52.3

5.2Contested Poss.119.2

1.0Goals13.4

Disposals

Dylan18.3

NOR340.7

Kicks

Dylan9.2

NOR197.6

Marks

Dylan4.1

NOR90.7

Tackles

Dylan2.8

NOR54.6

Clearances

Dylan0.8

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Dylan2.9

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Dylan5.2

NOR119.2

Goals

Dylan1.0

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At York Park1.9(23)+0.6

Everywhere else1.4(120)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.4(16)

Dry games1.4(127)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.