AFL
PProjectPunt
Conor Nash
Conor Nash
Hawthorn · vs ESS
8.5 KIO U
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.0
L5
8.6
L10
8.0
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GWSMar 076ESSMar 136SYDMar 1910GEEApr 067WBDApr 1110PORApr 187GCSApr 2512COLApr 305FREMay 079ADEMay 21?ESSJul 258.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Conor19.1
ESS398.8
Kicks
Conor8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Conor2.1
ESS116.9
Tackles
Conor5.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Conor5.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Conor2.0
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Conor10.2
ESS121.4
Goals
Conor0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.8.8(23)+0.5
Everywhere else8.3(34)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)8.7(7)+0.2
Dry games8.5(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.