AFL
PProjectPunt
Jai Newcombe
Jai Newcombe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 HOO U
Hit rate
6% (1/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.1
L5
0.2
L10
0.1
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GWSMar 070ESSMar 130SYDMar 190GEEApr 060WBDApr 110PORApr 180GCSApr 250COLApr 300FREMay 070MELMay 160ADEMay 210STKMay 280WBDJun 050GCSJun 190GWSJun 261MELJul 040CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jai25.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jai11.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Jai2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jai3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jai7.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jai3.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jai12.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Jai0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Hitouts

30.8per game · league avg 35.2
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Hitouts

At M.C.G.0.0(30)
Everywhere else0.0(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Hitouts

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)
Dry games0.0(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.