AFL
PProjectPunt
Jai Newcombe
Jai Newcombe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 MKO U
Hit rate
67% (12/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.9
L5
3.4
L10
2.5
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4GWSMar 076ESSMar 133SYDMar 191GEEApr 063WBDApr 114PORApr 183GCSApr 254COLApr 301FREMay 070MELMay 161ADEMay 212STKMay 284WBDJun 053GCSJun 193GWSJun 266MELJul 043CARJul 112RICJul 19?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jai25.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jai11.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Jai2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jai3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jai7.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jai3.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jai12.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Jai0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.4.0(30)+0.8
Everywhere else3.1(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.9(8)+0.4
Dry games3.4(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.