AFL
PProjectPunt
Jai Newcombe
Jai Newcombe
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 TKO U
Hit rate
61% (11/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.9
L5
3.2
L10
3.5
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GWSMar 074ESSMar 132SYDMar 194GEEApr 064WBDApr 117PORApr 186GCSApr 255COLApr 302FREMay 072MELMay 166ADEMay 216STKMay 283WBDJun 052GCSJun 194GWSJun 261MELJul 044CARJul 115RICJul 19?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Jai25.9
ESS398.8
Kicks
Jai11.8
ESS232.6
Marks
Jai2.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Jai3.9
ESS50.5
Clearances
Jai7.7
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Jai3.8
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Jai12.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Jai0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.4.0(30)-0.9
Everywhere else4.8(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)5.5(8)+1.2
Dry games4.3(61)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.