AFL
PProjectPunt
Ned Reeves
Ned Reeves
Hawthorn · vs ESS
7.5 DIO U
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.5
L5
6.6
L10
7.2
High
16
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
12ESSMar 137SYDMar 1910GEEApr 064WBDApr 1110PORApr 185GCSApr 2516COLApr 305FREMay 073MELMay 169ADEMay 215STKMay 289WBDJun 055GCSJun 195GWSJun 26?ESSJul 257.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned7.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ned4.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Ned0.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ned2.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ned2.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ned1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Ned4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Ned0.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.9.0(10)+3.0
Everywhere else6.0(9)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games7.6(19)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.