AFL
PProjectPunt
Ned Reeves
Ned Reeves
Hawthorn · vs ESS
3.5 HBO U
Hit rate
36% (5/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.2
L5
2.0
L10
2.6
High
7
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7ESSMar 135SYDMar 195GEEApr 062WBDApr 113PORApr 183GCSApr 257COLApr 300FREMay 073MELMay 160ADEMay 214STKMay 283WBDJun 052GCSJun 191GWSJun 26?ESSJul 253.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned7.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ned4.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Ned0.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ned2.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ned2.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ned1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Ned4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Ned0.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.4.7(10)+2.5
Everywhere else2.2(9)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games3.5(19)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.