AFL
PProjectPunt
Ned Reeves
Ned Reeves
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
43% (6/14)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.5
L5
3.0
L10
2.8
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1ESSMar 133SYDMar 191GEEApr 062WBDApr 116PORApr 184GCSApr 251COLApr 300FREMay 072MELMay 162ADEMay 214STKMay 284WBDJun 053GCSJun 192GWSJun 26?ESSJul 252.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ned7.5
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ned4.3
ESS232.6
Marks
Ned0.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ned2.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ned2.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ned1.2
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Ned4.9
ESS121.4
Goals
Ned0.4
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Tackles

50.5per game · league avg 56.9
#16 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.2.3(10)-0.4
Everywhere else2.7(9)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)(0)
Dry games2.5(19)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.