AFL
PProjectPunt
Josh Ward
Josh Ward
Hawthorn · vs ESS
11.5 HBO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
11.6
L5
11.4
L10
12.5
High
16
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GWSMar 0710ESSMar 1314SYDMar 1915GEEApr 066WBDApr 117PORApr 1812GCSApr 2512COLApr 3010FREMay 0713MELMay 1616ADEMay 2113STKMay 2816WBDJun 0516GCSJun 199GWSJun 2614MELJul 049CARJul 119RICJul 19?ESSJul 2511.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh10.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh3.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh3.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh3.7
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Josh7.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.10.9(25)+1.8
Everywhere else9.1(30)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.1(8)+0.3
Dry games9.9(47)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.