AFL
PProjectPunt
Josh Ward
Josh Ward
Hawthorn · vs ESS
10.5 KIO U
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
10.6
L5
10.8
L10
10.6
High
16
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
10GWSMar 0716ESSMar 1313SYDMar 1914GEEApr 068WBDApr 117PORApr 188GCSApr 259COLApr 3011FREMay 0711MELMay 168ADEMay 219STKMay 2813WBDJun 0511GCSJun 197GWSJun 2611MELJul 0414CARJul 1111RICJul 19?ESSJul 2510.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh22.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh10.6
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh3.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh3.5
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh3.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh3.7
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Josh7.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.10.3(25)+0.6
Everywhere else9.7(30)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)10.6(8)+0.8
Dry games9.9(47)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.