AFL
PProjectPunt
Nick Watson
Nick Watson
Hawthorn · vs ESS
1.5 CLO U
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.2
L5
1.2
L10
1.3
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1GWSMar 071ESSMar 130SYDMar 192GEEApr 062WBDApr 110PORApr 181GCSApr 250COLApr 300FREMay 074MELMay 162ADEMay 212STKMay 283WBDJun 051GCSJun 190GWSJun 260RICJul 19?ESSJul 251.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick13.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Nick8.1
ESS232.6
Marks
Nick2.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Nick2.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Nick1.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Nick2.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Nick6.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Nick2.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Clearances

33.3per game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Clearances

At M.C.G.0.9(27)+0.1
Everywhere else0.8(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(7)+0.2
Dry games0.8(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.