Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Nick Watson

Hawthorn · vs NOR

1.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

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Avg

1.2

L10

1.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nickvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

13.4Disposals340.7

8.1Kicks197.6

2.3Marks90.7

2.3Tackles54.6

1.2Clearances33.9

2.6Inside 50s52.3

6.6Contested Poss.119.2

2.8Goals13.4

Disposals

Nick13.4

NOR340.7

Kicks

Nick8.1

NOR197.6

Marks

Nick2.3

NOR90.7

Tackles

Nick2.3

NOR54.6

Clearances

Nick1.2

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Nick2.6

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Nick6.6

NOR119.2

Goals

Nick2.8

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Clearances

33.9per game · league avg 35.7

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Clearances

At York Park1.1(9)+0.3

Everywhere else0.8(50)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(7)+0.2

Dry games0.8(52)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.