AFL
PProjectPunt
Nick Watson
Nick Watson
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.9
L5
0.6
L10
0.9
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GWSMar 070ESSMar 131SYDMar 191GEEApr 060WBDApr 114PORApr 180GCSApr 251COLApr 301FREMay 070MELMay 164ADEMay 210STKMay 280WBDJun 051GCSJun 190GWSJun 262RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (35%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick13.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Nick8.1
ESS232.6
Marks
Nick2.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Nick2.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Nick1.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Nick2.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Nick6.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Nick2.8
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0
#10 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.1.2(27)-0.3
Everywhere else1.4(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.6(7)+0.3
Dry games1.3(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.