Nick Watson
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.3
L5
2.0
L10
2.1
High
6
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly13.4Disposals398.8
8.1Kicks232.6
2.3Marks116.9
2.3Tackles50.5
1.2Clearances33.3
2.6Inside 50s55.1
6.6Contested poss.121.4
2.8Goals15.0
Disposals
Nick13.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Nick8.1
ESS232.6
Marks
Nick2.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Nick2.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Nick1.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Nick2.6
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Nick6.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Nick2.8
ESS15.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Marks
116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Marks
At M.C.G.2.9(27)+0.9
Everywhere else2.0(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Marks
Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(7)+0.7
Dry games2.3(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.