Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Josh Weddle

Hawthorn · vs NOR

0.5 FFO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

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Avg

0.6

L10

0.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs NOR

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Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.6°C☂ 0mm (4%)🌬 14.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Joshvs all playersStatNOR concedePer game

16.4Disposals340.7

9.1Kicks197.6

4.9Marks90.7

2.7Tackles54.6

0.5Clearances33.9

3.3Inside 50s52.3

4.5Contested Poss.119.2

0.3Goals13.4

Disposals

Josh16.4

NOR340.7

Kicks

Josh9.1

NOR197.6

Marks

Josh4.9

NOR90.7

Tackles

Josh2.7

NOR54.6

Clearances

Josh0.5

NOR33.9

Inside 50s

Josh3.3

NOR52.3

Contested Poss.

Josh4.5

NOR119.2

Goals

Josh0.3

NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At York Park0.6(11)-0.1

Everywhere else0.7(64)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(6)-0.2

Dry games0.7(69)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.