AFL
PProjectPunt
Josh Weddle
Josh Weddle
Hawthorn · vs ESS
7.5 HBO U
Hit rate
60% (9/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.3
L5
7.4
L10
7.2
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
7GWSMar 078ESSMar 138SYDMar 198GEEApr 067WBDApr 115PORApr 1810GCSApr 253COLApr 308FREMay 079MELMay 168ADEMay 218STKMay 284WBDJun 057GCSJun 1910RICJul 19?ESSJul 257.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Josh16.4
ESS398.8
Kicks
Josh9.1
ESS232.6
Marks
Josh4.9
ESS116.9
Tackles
Josh2.7
ESS50.5
Clearances
Josh0.5
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Josh3.3
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Josh4.5
ESS121.4
Goals
Josh0.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.7.7(25)+1.7
Everywhere else6.0(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)7.3(6)+0.6
Dry games6.7(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.