Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Kade Chandler

Melbourne · @ GCS

4.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

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Avg

4.5

4.6

L10

5.0

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Enter odds and a stake to track this bet. You'll settle it by hand on the bets page — nothing grades itself.

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 17.7°C☂ 0mm (28%)🌬 13.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Kadevs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

15.8Disposals359.7

8.2Kicks206.6

2.7Marks83.4

4.5Tackles64.7

2.2Clearances38.2

3.8Inside 50s52.9

6.6Contested Poss.128.1

0.9Goals13.2

Disposals

Kade15.8

GCS359.7

Kicks

Kade8.2

GCS206.6

Marks

Kade2.7

GCS83.4

Tackles

Kade4.5

GCS64.7

Clearances

Kade2.2

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Kade3.8

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Kade6.6

GCS128.1

Goals

Kade0.9

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Tackles

64.7per game · league avg 56.9

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Carrara3.0(3)-0.7

Everywhere else3.7(89)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(5)-0.7

Dry games3.7(87)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.