Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jake Melksham

Melbourne · @ GCS

4.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

50% (3/6)

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Avg

4.5

4.0

L10

4.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

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Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.8°C☂ 0.5mm (28%)🌬 15.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

7.8Disposals359.7

4.5Kicks206.6

2.8Marks83.4

1.0Tackles64.7

0.2Clearances38.2

1.7Inside 50s52.9

3.2Contested Poss.128.1

1.3Goals13.2

Disposals

Jake7.8

GCS359.7

Kicks

Jake4.5

GCS206.6

Marks

Jake2.8

GCS83.4

Tackles

Jake1.0

GCS64.7

Clearances

Jake0.2

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Jake1.7

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Jake3.2

GCS128.1

Goals

Jake1.3

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Kicks

206.6per game · league avg 213.8

#14 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Kicks

At Carrara9.3(6)+2.4

Everywhere else6.9(90)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)7.9(9)+0.9

Dry games7.0(87)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.