Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Trent Rivers

Melbourne · @ GCS

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

45% (5/11)

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Avg

0.5

0.8

L10

0.6

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

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Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 17.7°C☂ 0mm (28%)🌬 13.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Trentvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

20.4Disposals359.7

11.7Kicks206.6

5.0Marks83.4

2.1Tackles64.7

0.6Clearances38.2

3.0Inside 50s52.9

4.7Contested Poss.128.1

0.3Goals13.2

Disposals

Trent20.4

GCS359.7

Kicks

Trent11.7

GCS206.6

Marks

Trent5.0

GCS83.4

Tackles

Trent2.1

GCS64.7

Clearances

Trent0.6

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Trent3.0

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Trent4.7

GCS128.1

Goals

Trent0.3

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Goal Assists

9.7per game · league avg 9.3

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Carrara0.2(5)

Everywhere else0.2(129)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(10)-0.2

Dry games0.3(124)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.