P
Current to Round 21, today
SGI
Savelio Tamale
St George Illawarra Dragons · @ MEL
0.5 LBO —U —
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.5
L5
0.2
L10
0.4
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0MANMar 07☂0WARMar 131CBYMar 19☂3CROMar 290NEWApr 050SOUApr 111WSTApr 231GLDMay 020PENMay 101DOLMay 210NQLMay 310SYDJun 051MELJun 210SGIJun 280SOUJul 18?MELJul 310.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.2°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Savelio153.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Savelio4.5
MEL33.0
Tackles
Savelio2.8
MEL338.8
Tries
Savelio0.5
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Savelio0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Savelio0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Savelio0.4
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Savelio43.9
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Line Breaks

6.3per game · league avg 5.0
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Line Breaks

At AAMI Park1.0(1)+0.3
Everywhere else0.7(33)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(5)-0.1
Dry games0.7(29)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.