P
Current to Round 21, today
SGI
Savelio Tamale
St George Illawarra Dragons · @ MEL
4.5 TBO U
Hit rate
53% (8/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.5
L5
2.8
L10
3.5
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9MANMar 074WARMar 135CBYMar 196CROMar 299NEWApr 050SOUApr 117WSTApr 233GLDMay 023PENMay 108DOLMay 216NQLMay 310SYDJun 058MELJun 210SGIJun 280SOUJul 18?MELJul 314.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (0%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Savelio153.3
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Savelio4.5
MEL33.0
Tackles
Savelio2.8
MEL338.8
Tries
Savelio0.5
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Savelio0.1
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Savelio0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Savelio0.4
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Savelio43.9
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackle Breaks

33.0per game · league avg 32.6
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Tackle Breaks

At AAMI Park8.0(1)+3.3
Everywhere else4.7(33)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)5.2(5)+0.5
Dry games4.7(29)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.