Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Matthew Timoko

Canberra Raiders · @ SGI

14.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

14.2

15.8

L10

15.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 22 @ SGI

Game conditionsWIN Stadium · WollongongRound 22 · 2026-07-31 18:00☁ 11.5°C☂ 0.7mm (5%)🌬 13.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Matthewvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game

142.8Run Metres1917.7

3.3Tackle Breaks30.6

11.3Tackles343.1

0.3Tries5.2

0.1Try Assists3.8

0.5Line Breaks6.0

1.1Offloads8.5

51.8Post Contact Metres599.7

Run Metres

Matthew142.8

SGI1917.7

Tackle Breaks

Matthew3.3

SGI30.6

Tackles

Matthew11.3

SGI343.1

Tries

Matthew0.3

SGI5.2

Try Assists

Matthew0.1

SGI3.8

Line Breaks

Matthew0.5

SGI6.0

Offloads

Matthew1.1

SGI8.5

Post Contact Metres

Matthew51.8

SGI599.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SGI concede · Runs

195.9per game · league avg 186.4

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At WIN Stadium12.8(4)-0.1

Everywhere else12.9(127)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)14.3(12)+1.5

Dry games12.7(119)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.