Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Matthew Timoko

Canberra Raiders · @ BRI

14.5 RUNO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

14.2

15.8

L10

15.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Matthewvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

142.8Run Metres1842.7

3.3Tackle Breaks31.7

11.3Tackles323.2

0.3Tries4.3

0.1Try Assists3.2

0.5Line Breaks4.7

1.1Offloads10.1

51.8Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Matthew142.8

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Matthew3.3

BRI31.7

Tackles

Matthew11.3

BRI323.2

Tries

Matthew0.3

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Matthew0.1

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Matthew0.5

BRI4.7

Offloads

Matthew1.1

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Matthew51.8

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Runs

195.2per game · league avg 186.4

#2 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At Suncorp Stadium11.4(10)-1.6

Everywhere else13.0(121)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)14.3(12)+1.5

Dry games12.7(119)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.