P
Current to Round 21, today
CBR
Sebastian Kris
Canberra Raiders · @ MEL
26.5 FPO U
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
26.8
L5
20.0
L10
27.5
High
57
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
27MANMar 0720WARMar 1323CBYMar 1936CROMar 2921NEWApr 0520SOUApr 1147MELApr 1735WSTApr 2336GLDMay 0237PENMay 1057NQLMay 317PARJun 1321MELJun 2115SGIJun 280WSTJul 25?MELJul 3126.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:007.2°C0mm (2%)🌬 3.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Sebastian113.1
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Sebastian1.7
MEL33.0
Tackles
Sebastian9.5
MEL338.8
Tries
Sebastian0.3
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Sebastian0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Sebastian0.5
MEL6.3
Offloads
Sebastian0.9
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Sebastian40.2
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Fantasy Points

648.4per game · league avg 645.9
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At AAMI Park25.7(3)-4.2
Everywhere else29.9(121)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)32.5(14)+3.1
Dry games29.4(110)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.