Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Sebastian Kris

Canberra Raiders · @ WST

1.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

20% (3/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.1

1.6

L10

1.6

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Sebastianvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

113.1Run Metres1749.4

1.7Tackle Breaks33.3

9.5Tackles339.1

0.3Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.5Line Breaks6.6

0.9Offloads9.1

40.2Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Sebastian113.1

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Sebastian1.7

WST33.3

Tackles

Sebastian9.5

WST339.1

Tries

Sebastian0.3

WST5.3

Try Assists

Sebastian0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Sebastian0.5

WST6.6

Offloads

Sebastian0.9

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Sebastian40.2

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Points

30.2per game · league avg 23.5

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At CommBank Stadium0.0(2)-1.5

Everywhere else1.5(122)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)0.6(14)-1.1

Dry games1.6(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.