Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Sebastian Kris

Canberra Raiders · @ BRI

9.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

53% (8/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

9.5

5.8

L10

9.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Sebastianvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

113.1Run Metres1842.7

1.7Tackle Breaks31.7

9.5Tackles323.2

0.3Tries4.3

0.0Try Assists3.2

0.5Line Breaks4.7

0.9Offloads10.1

40.2Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Sebastian113.1

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Sebastian1.7

BRI31.7

Tackles

Sebastian9.5

BRI323.2

Tries

Sebastian0.3

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Sebastian0.0

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Sebastian0.5

BRI4.7

Offloads

Sebastian0.9

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Sebastian40.2

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Tackles

323.2per game · league avg 345.6

#16 of 17 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Suncorp Stadium11.5(10)+2.2

Everywhere else9.3(114)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(14)+1.7

Dry games9.3(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.