Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Ethan Strange

Canberra Raiders · @ BRI

42.5 FPO —U —

Hit rate

50% (8/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

42.8

38.2

L10

42.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ BRI

Game conditionsSuncorp Stadium · BrisbaneRound 22 · 2026-08-01 19:35☁ 14.3°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Ethanvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

77.2Run Metres1842.7

3.9Tackle Breaks31.7

20.0Tackles323.2

0.3Tries4.3

0.4Try Assists3.2

0.5Line Breaks4.7

0.7Offloads10.1

14.3Post Contact Metres594.5

Run Metres

Ethan77.2

BRI1842.7

Tackle Breaks

Ethan3.9

BRI31.7

Tackles

Ethan20.0

BRI323.2

Tries

Ethan0.3

BRI4.3

Try Assists

Ethan0.4

BRI3.2

Line Breaks

Ethan0.5

BRI4.7

Offloads

Ethan0.7

BRI10.1

Post Contact Metres

Ethan14.3

BRI594.5

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Fantasy Points

636.4per game · league avg 645.9

#11 of 17 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Fantasy Points

At Suncorp Stadium32.7(3)-5.9

Everywhere else38.5(60)

Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Fantasy Points

Wet games (≥1mm)38.1(11)-0.2

Dry games38.3(52)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.