Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Ethan Strange

Canberra Raiders · @ GLD

1.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.3

0.8

L10

1.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ GLD

Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 22 · 2026-08-01 15:00☁ 17.7°C☂ 0.2mm (36%)🌬 14.4 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Ethanvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game

77.2Run Metres1822.7

3.9Tackle Breaks33.8

20.0Tackles340.9

0.3Tries4.6

0.4Try Assists3.9

0.5Line Breaks4.8

0.7Offloads11.1

14.3Post Contact Metres594.6

Run Metres

Ethan77.2

GLD1822.7

Tackle Breaks

Ethan3.9

GLD33.8

Tackles

Ethan20.0

GLD340.9

Tries

Ethan0.3

GLD4.6

Try Assists

Ethan0.4

GLD3.9

Line Breaks

Ethan0.5

GLD4.8

Offloads

Ethan0.7

GLD11.1

Post Contact Metres

Ethan14.3

GLD594.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GLD concede · Points

25.5per game · league avg 23.5

#5 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At Cbus Super Stadium4.0(1)+2.5

Everywhere else1.5(62)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(11)+0.6

Dry games1.4(52)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.