P
Current to Round 21, today
CBR
Ethan Strange
Canberra Raiders · @ NQL
0.5 TAO U
Hit rate
31% (5/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.4
L10
0.6
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0MANMar 070WARMar 130CBYMar 190CROMar 291NEWApr 050SOUApr 111MELApr 170WSTApr 232PENMay 101NQLMay 310SYDJun 050MELJun 210SGIJun 280CBYJul 112SOUJul 180WSTJul 25?NQLJul 300.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ NQL
Game conditionsQueensland Country Bank Stadium · TownsvilleRound 22 · 2026-07-30 19:5019.8°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.1 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Ethan77.2
NQL1759.5
Tackle Breaks
Ethan3.9
NQL36.2
Tackles
Ethan20.0
NQL338.9
Tries
Ethan0.3
NQL4.5
Try Assists
Ethan0.4
NQL3.8
Line Breaks
Ethan0.5
NQL5.8
Offloads
Ethan0.7
NQL10.1
Post Contact Metres
Ethan14.3
NQL610.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NQL concede · Try Assists

3.8per game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Try Assists

At Queensland Country Bank Stadium0.5(2)+0.1
Everywhere else0.4(61)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Try Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(11)-0.2
Dry games0.5(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.