Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, today

CBR

Jamal Fogarty

Canberra Raiders · @ WST

6.5 PTSO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

6.5

6.0

L10

3.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.9°C☂ 0mm (7%)🌬 8.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jamalvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

49.6Run Metres1749.4

0.8Tackle Breaks33.3

21.2Tackles339.1

0.2Tries5.3

1.1Try Assists4.6

0.2Line Breaks6.6

0.1Offloads9.1

8.5Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Jamal49.6

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Jamal0.8

WST33.3

Tackles

Jamal21.2

WST339.1

Tries

Jamal0.2

WST5.3

Try Assists

Jamal1.1

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Jamal0.2

WST6.6

Offloads

Jamal0.1

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Jamal8.5

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Points

30.2per game · league avg 23.5

#1 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Points

At CommBank Stadium3.0(2)-3.5

Everywhere else6.5(113)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Points

Wet games (≥1mm)5.6(10)-0.9

Dry games6.5(105)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.