P
Current to Round 21, yesterday
CBR
Josh Papalii
Canberra Raiders · @ MEL
5.5 RUNO —U —
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.4
L5
5.2
L10
5.4
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1MANMar 07☂8CBYMar 19☂8NEWApr 056SOUApr 114MELApr 177CBYJul 112SOUJul 187WSTJul 25?MELJul 315.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 5.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Josh52.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Josh0.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Josh17.0
MEL338.8
Tries
Josh0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Josh0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Josh0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Josh0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Josh18.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Runs

193.4per game · league avg 186.4
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Runs

At AAMI Park13.3(4)+1.8
Everywhere else11.5(114)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Runs

Wet games (≥1mm)9.7(14)-2.1
Dry games11.8(104)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.