P
Current to Round 21, yesterday
CBR
Josh Papalii
Canberra Raiders · @ MEL
17.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
17.0
L5
13.8
L10
17.0
High
35
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
13MANMar 07☂35CBYMar 19☂19NEWApr 0514SOUApr 117MELApr 1713CBYJul 1121SOUJul 1814WSTJul 25?MELJul 3117.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ MEL
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-07-31 20:00☁ 7.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 5.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Run Metres
Josh52.4
MEL1701.7
Tackle Breaks
Josh0.3
MEL33.0
Tackles
Josh17.0
MEL338.8
Tries
Josh0.0
MEL4.4
Try Assists
Josh0.0
MEL3.6
Line Breaks
Josh0.0
MEL6.3
Offloads
Josh0.1
MEL9.9
Post Contact Metres
Josh18.4
MEL571.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

338.8per game · league avg 345.6
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At AAMI Park26.8(4)+3.0
Everywhere else23.7(114)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)25.0(14)+1.3
Dry games23.7(104)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.