Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 21, 2 days ago

CBR

Zac Hosking

Canberra Raiders · @ WST

95.5 RMO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

95.6

94.8

L10

111.6

High

171

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 22 @ WST

Game conditionsCommBank Stadium · SydneyRound 22 · 2026-08-02 16:05☁ 17.6°C☂ 0mm (6%)🌬 9.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Zacvs all playersStatWST concedePer game

95.6Run Metres1749.4

0.8Tackle Breaks33.3

32.6Tackles339.1

0.2Tries5.3

0.0Try Assists4.6

0.1Line Breaks6.6

1.0Offloads9.1

34.8Post Contact Metres528.1

Run Metres

Zac95.6

WST1749.4

Tackle Breaks

Zac0.8

WST33.3

Tackles

Zac32.6

WST339.1

Tries

Zac0.2

WST5.3

Try Assists

Zac0.0

WST4.6

Line Breaks

Zac0.1

WST6.6

Offloads

Zac1.0

WST9.1

Post Contact Metres

Zac34.8

WST528.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WST concede · Run Metres

1749.4per game · league avg 1690.5

#6 of 17 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Run Metres

At CommBank Stadium130.5(2)+44.5

Everywhere else86.0(70)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Run Metres

Wet games (≥1mm)81.4(7)-6.4

Dry games87.9(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.